ONN analyst Xu Tianran and Melissa Hanham co-authored a chapter for the new volume from George Washington University on The Next 50 Years of Nuclear Proliferation. The chapter titled The Next 50 Years of Missile Proliferation tries to illustrate the future trends of missile proliferation by examining the history of ballistic and cruise missile proliferation.
The collection of essays on the future of nuclear weapons proliferation edited by Sharon Squassoni includes pieces on nuclear-related matters from such well-regarded experts as Mark Hibbs, Hans Kristensen, Rebecca Davis Gibbons, Jon Wolfsthal, Ankit Panda and others.
Soviet-era, liquid propellant ballistic missiles such as the Scud will continue to proliferate in the coming decades.
State and non-State actors will try to develop or obtain solid-fuel ballistic missile technologies.
With commercially available off-the-shelf products, more State and non-State actors will try to develop their own cruise missiles and suicide drones.
Emerging technologies will increase the performance of missiles and make them more accessible to State and non-State actors.
More robust custom inspection is required as the missiles are smuggled into countries in parts.
The Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR) shall include more countries.